Cheap Talk or Serious Resolve? Chinese and U.S. Policies on the East and South China Seas

This policy brief examines U.S. and Chinese policies regarding the East and South China Seas, focusing on whether recent statements by both governments represent genuine strategic commitment or political rhetoric. It argues that while diplomatic language often serves as “cheap talk,” China’s continued military expansion and territorial activities demonstrate a consistent commitment to its regional claims. The brief also evaluates the early Trump administration’s approach, highlighting the importance of clear and consistent U.S. policy in reassuring allies, deterring further Chinese assertiveness, and maintaining stability in the Indo-Pacific region.