NSFA Research

  • The Risks of Nuclear Facility Incidents

    The Risks of Nuclear Facility Incidents

    In this report, we provide an overview of the security environment confronting countries with sensitive nuclear facilities. First, we detail deliberate attacks on nuclear facilities and the vulnerabilities that expose these facilities to internal and external threats. Then, we review terrorist violence cross-nationally and over time, focusing specifically on attacks against critical infrastructure, such as…

  • The Consequences of Nuclear Facility Incidents

    The Consequences of Nuclear Facility Incidents

    This report examines the direct and indirect economic and political costs associated with accidental or deliberate nuclear security incidents at nuclear facilities. It analyzes the immediate and long-term economic impacts, including loss of life, property damage, disruptions to electricity generation, and broader social and behavioral effects such as changes in public risk perception and government…

  • Indian Muslims in the Crosshairs: The BJP and Its Anti-Beef Crusade

    Indian Muslims in the Crosshairs: The BJP and Its Anti-Beef Crusade

    The rise of Hindu nationalism, especially following the election of the Bharatiya JanataParty (BJP) in 2014 under the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, has put a sharperfocus on the long-standing struggle over the nature of India’s political and cultural identity. Within the Hindu nationalist frame, any part of India’s culture or history associated with…

  • Democratic Conflict and the Political Morality of Compromise

    Democratic Conflict and the Political Morality of Compromise

    In his 1775 Speech on Conciliation with America, Edmund Burke offered a succinct account of why it is rational to be willing to compromise in politics, and indeed in almost every aspect of broader social life: All government, indeed every human benefit and enjoyment, every virtue, and every prudent act, is founded on compromise and…

  • The Strategic Importance of Kenya in the Fight Against Terrorism in the Horn of Africa: Evaluating Counterterrorism Measures in Kenya

    The Strategic Importance of Kenya in the Fight Against Terrorism in the Horn of Africa: Evaluating Counterterrorism Measures in Kenya

    This paper examines the evolution of terrorism in Kenya and the country’s growing role in counterterrorism efforts in the Horn of Africa. It explores how Kenya transitioned from one of the region’s most stable nations to a frontline state in the global fight against violent extremism, highlighting major terrorist attacks by Al Qaeda and Al-Shabaab,…

  • Between Allies and Enemies: Explaining the Volatility of the U.S.-Pakistan Relationship, 1947–2018

    Between Allies and Enemies: Explaining the Volatility of the U.S.-Pakistan Relationship, 1947–2018

    The relationship between the United States and Pakistan has experienced dramatic shifts since Pakistan’s independence in 1947, alternating between close strategic partnership and deep political distrust. This policy brief examines the historical factors that have shaped this volatility, arguing that the relationship has been driven primarily by changing national security priorities rather than enduring diplomatic…

  • Recent Developments in the Kurdish Independence Movement in Iraq

    Recent Developments in the Kurdish Independence Movement in Iraq

    This paper examines the historical roots and recent developments of the Kurdish independence movement in Iraq, focusing on the 2017 independence referendum and its political, economic, and security implications. It explores the longstanding tensions between the Kurdistan Regional Government and Iraq’s central government, the strategic importance of Kirkuk and its oil reserves, and the influence…

  • China in Balochistan: CPEC and the Shifting Security Landscape of Pakistan

    China in Balochistan: CPEC and the Shifting Security Landscape of Pakistan

    This policy brief examines the impact of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) on the security, political, and economic landscape of Pakistan’s Balochistan province. It traces the historical roots of Baloch separatism, emphasizing longstanding grievances over political marginalization, resource exploitation, and limited economic opportunities. The brief argues that while CPEC has strengthened the strategic partnership between…

  • The Yemen Imbroglio: Understanding the Many Layers of the Yemeni Civil War

    The Yemen Imbroglio: Understanding the Many Layers of the Yemeni Civil War

    The violence in Yemen has escalated in the wake of the Saudi-led air strikes over the past two years against the northern Houthi rebels. High civilian casualties have marked this campaign, with a March 2017 strike against a market, for example, killing 20 civilians along with 6 rebels. The Houthis too have targeted civilian populations.…

  • Lawnmowers in the Sky: The Turbulent Past and Uncertain Future of Drone Warfare

    Lawnmowers in the Sky: The Turbulent Past and Uncertain Future of Drone Warfare

    For the past 15 years, the drone has become one of America’s premier tools in its counterterrorism campaign, being deployed in Yemen, Somalia, Pakistan, Libya, and Syria. It is viewed as a means of combating terrorism without putting boots on the ground. However, the use of drones has not been without controversy, as critics have…