Estimating the Benefits of Fuel Economy Information: An Analysis, Update and Recommendations for Enhancing ORNL’s Methodology
David Greene and Jileah Welch, 2017
David Greene and Jileah Welch, 2017
David Greene and Jileah Welch, 2017
Energy security and environmental concerns have led to a growing emphasis on alternative fuel vehicles. Particularly within the transportation sector, where gasoline consumption accounts for 47% of total U.S. petroleum consumption, there has been a shift to develop, incentivize, and assist in the adoption of vehicles that are not solely fueled by gasoline.
This report describes the results of statistical estimation of models of scrappage rates and survival probabilities as a function of vehicle age for U.S. light-duty vehicles. The data used are counts of vehicles in operation by vehicle type and model year for calendar years 2002-2020, which allows scrappage functions to be estimated for years 2003-2020.
Since the energy crises of the 1970s the U.S. has struggled to substitute alternative energy sources for petroleum use by motor vehicles. This report reviews recent studies of a wide range of policies to promote alternative fuels and vehicles to extract insights about their impacts and effectiveness.